6TH WORLD TANTRIX CHAMPIONSHIP - 'EXPECTED' SCORES - ALL RNDS

This table at the bottom of this page lists the matches in each round in order of seeding point ("SP") differences like last year. NEW for

this year, it also shows the 'expected' TP score in each match based on the unadjusted Elo ratings (if any) of the two players.

The order of the matches in the table below:

The match with the lowest SP difference is at the top of each table and the match with the highest SP difference is at the bottom. Hence,

matches near the top are potentially very close and matches near the bottom are potentially very one-sided. I have ordered the matches by

SP difference rather than Elo difference so that matches involving players who do not yet have Elo ratings can be included in a sensible way.

Click here for some comments on the order in the table in the reports forum

Expected TP scores - important note:

Have fun with the figures, but N.B. they can be very misleading if you don't understand what they do and do NOT

mean. PLEASE read the notes about Expected TP Scores below the list so as not to read too much into them!

(for what EXPECTED TPs mean, what the bigger bold font & scores in red mean, please see the notes below the lists)

THE FINAL (the highest combined rating for a match in World Tantrix Championship history) & 3PPO

PLAYER WITH HIGHER SEEDING PTS

'EXPECTED'

ACTUAL

A-E

PLAYER WITH LOWER SEEDING PTS

Pos

SPdiff.

SPs

Name (nickname)

Nat

TPs

Wins

TPs (7gs)

TPs

Nat

Name (nickname)

SPs

2017

Matt Peek TGM ('Pekko')

96-84

(5-4)

115.3-64.7

Shaun Cooper ITM ('scoop')

1970

1900

László Szobonya ('Sirpi')

66-54

(3.5-2.5)

53.3-66.7

-13

Rick Yagodich ('RickY')

1832

SEMI-FINALS

PLAYER WITH HIGHER SEEDING PTS

'EXPECTED'

ACTUAL

A-E

PLAYER WITH LOWER SEEDING PTS

Pos

SPdiff.

SPs

Name (nickname)

Nat

TPs

Wins

TPs (7gs)

TPs

Nat

Name (nickname)

SPs

117

2017

Matt Peek TGM ('Pekko')

93-67

(5.5-2.5)

85.8-74.2

-7

László Szobonya ('Sirpi')

1900

138

1970

Shaun Cooper ITM ('scoop')

95-65

(5.5-2.5)

93.4-66.6

-2

Rick Yagodich ('RickY')

1832

QUARTER-FINALS (… needless to say, Neil is no longer playing like a 1700 player, so don't take the last 'prediction' too seriously!)

PLAYER WITH HIGHER SEEDING PTS

'EXPECTED'

ACTUAL

A-E

PLAYER WITH LOWER SEEDING PTS

Pos

SPdiff.

SPs

Name (nickname)

Nat

TPs

Wins

TPs (7gs)

TPs

Nat

Name (nickname)

SPs

1948

Catherine Moxham ('Bastet')

75-65

(4-3)

58.0-82.0

-17

László Szobonya ('Sirpi')

1900

1970

Shaun Cooper ITM ('scoop')

76-64

(4-3)

86.2-53.8

Rob Morton ('cheekymbk')

1910

1919

Mike McManaway ('mikem')

79-61

(4.5-2.5)

55.5-84.5

-24

Rick Yagodich ('RickY')

1832

299

2017

Matt Peek TGM ('Pekko')

94-46

(6-1)

79.1-60.9

-15

Neil Jenner ('neilj')

1718

ROUND 4 (… this shockingly shock-free round made it only three shocks and only one tiebreak in the last 24 matches - a far cry from Round 2!)

PLAYER WITH HIGHER SEEDING PTS

'EXPECTED'

ACTUAL

A-E

PLAYER WITH LOWER SEEDING PTS

Pos

SPdiff.

SPs

Name (nickname)

Nat

TPs

Wins

TPs (6gs)

TPs

Nat

Name (nickname)

SPs

1919

Mike McManaway ('mikem')

60-60

(3-3)

68.7-51.3

János Püspöki ('pusi')

1915

1900

László Szobonya ('Sirpi')

62-58

(3-3)

66.3-53.7

James Preen ('bluedog')

1881

1832

Rick Yagodich ('RickY')

61-59

(3-3)

88.4-31.6

Roger Campbell ('rmanpv')

1763

1718

Neil Jenner ('neilj')

64-56

(3.5-2.5)

81.1-38.9

Laurence Pacull ('lorene')

1638

129

1970

Shaun Cooper ITM ('scoop')

71-49

(4-2)

69.3-50.7

-5

Frank Heyer ('blob')

1841

133

1910

Rob Morton ('cheekymbk')

71-49

(4-2)

81.6-38.4

Robin Brown ('robin')

1777

173

2017

Matt Peek TGM ('Pekko')

74-46

(4.5-1.5)

82.0-38.0

Marion Scott ('mazzer')

1844

256

1948

Catherine Moxham ('Bastet')

81-39

(5-1)

70.8-49.2

-10

Tamás Gombkötő ('TommG')

1692

ROUND 3 (… suddenly the seeds relaxed a bit and class and experience started to make a real difference)

PLAYER WITH HIGHER SEEDING PTS

'EXPECTED'

ACTUAL

A-E

PLAYER WITH LOWER SEEDING PTS

Pos

SPdiff.

SPs

Name (nickname)

Nat

TPs

Wins

TPs (6gs)

TPs

Nat

Name (nickname)

SPs

1910

Rob Morton ('cheekymbk')

61-59

(3-3)

72.0-48.0

Steven Trezise ITM ('steven2')

1895

1844

Marion Scott ('mazzer')

62-58

(3-3)

66.1-53.9

Fany Buisan ('fany')

1824

1763

Roger Campbell ('rmanpv')

64-56

(3.5-2.5)

64.2-55.8

Jean-Marc Nelken ('jmn34')

1741

1865

Jed Mihalisin ('Jed00')

63-57

(3.5-2.5)

48.5-71.5

-15

Rick Yagodich ('RickY')

1832

1915

János Püspöki ('pusi')

63-57

(3.5-2.5)

67.8-52.2

Chris Hill ('fear')

1881

1678

Marek Reniers ('1kornik21')

61-59

(3-3)

59.7-60.3

-1

Laurence Pacull ('lorene')

1638

1900

László Szobonya ('Sirpi')

64-56

(3.5-2.5)

62.6-57.4

-1

Lutz Göhmann ('Othello')

1855

1841

Frank Heyer ('blob')

68-52

(4-2)

89.9-30.1

Thierry Berguin ('ThB99')

1749

106

1798

Glynn Ridley ('Puddleglum')

69-51

(4-2)

51.4-68.6

-18

Tamás Gombkötő ('TommG')

1692

125

1718

Neil Jenner ('neilj')

68-52

(4-2)

75.2-44.8

Oskar Green ('oskar')

1593

164

2017

Matt Peek TGM ('Pekko')

69-51

(4-2)

83.0-37.0

Markku Saarikoski ('albicolon')

1853

170

1777

Robin Brown ('robin')

62-58

(3-3)

70.3-49.7

Daniel Goldhill ('mibbledee')

1607

199

1919

Mike McManaway ('mikem')

77-43

(4.5-1.5)

73.1-46.9

-4

Thomas Jarl ('Mavve')

1720

277

1881

James Preen ('bluedog')

70-50

(4-2)

84.4-35.6

Peter Henderson ('WilHunting')

1604

386

1948

Catherine Moxham ('Bastet')

90-30

(6-0)

64.5-55.5

-26

Niklas Andersson ('NiklasA')

1562

684

1970

Shaun Cooper ITM ('scoop')

n/a

78.7-41.3

n/a

Lennart Aspelin ('Pellepen')

1286

ROUND 2 (… half the results in this round were 'shocks' with a handful of the fastest-improving Prelim winners with low or no Elo ratings doing lots of damage)