2000 NZ Elo rating calculations

Elo Rating calculations for the 2000 NZ Tantrix Championship only
 
December 2000: Now allows for the change in calculation of G: G is now simply the number of games played
 
Six players had pre-tournament Elo ratings which were official:
 
Pekko Matt Peek 2023            
mikem Mike McManaway 1957            
Justin Justin Phillips 1947            
Ridcully Jamie Sneddon 1937            
Runes Phil Sneddon 1862            
Scarab Murray Pharaoh 1748            
 
Players who previously had unofficial or no ratings
 
For such players, the rating for a simple single elimination tournament like this is calculated as follows:
 
1) If such a player played one or more rated players, their ratings are based on those games and their opponents' pre-tournament ratings.
2) Their ratings are then used to work out the ratings of the players they beat.
3) This process carries on until all ratings have been calculated.
 
This means that in most cases we can work back along each eighth of the draw separately.
 
In the tables:
- G is the measure of number of games played as described in section 4 of the rating method.
- TP % is the weighted (by G for each match) average tournament point percentage
- Factor is the Elo difference factor for the given TP %
- Oppnt Elo is the weighted (by G for each match) average opponent Elo rating
- Tournt G is G for the whole tournament
- Pre-tnmt Elo is the player's pre-tournament Elo rating
 
Player details Calculation for match v officially rated player Tournt    
Name Nickname Lost to TP % Factor Oppnt Elo Elo G    
 
Matt Kearse MattK Pekko 43.8% -89 2023 1934 8.0    
Rochelle Duke Rochelle MattK 40.0% -143 1934 1791 4.0    
 
Bevan Chong Mighty Pekko 37.5% -180 2023 1843 7.0    
Robin Brown robin Mighty 18.3% -511 1843 1332 7.0    
Paul Martinsen Ponder robin 47.5% -35 1332 1297 4.0    
 
Alexei Drummond venus Ridcully 35.0% -218 1937 1719 5.0    
Ekarin Teng nArike venus 18.3% -511 1719 1208 3.0    
 
Damon Horrell Damon Justin 45.0% -71 1947 1876 8.0    
Jo Simons SusanDeath Damon 41.3% -125 1876 1751 4.0    
 
Chris Peek Chriz Runes 47.5% -35 1862 1827 8.0    
Jason Cornish Jace Chriz 37.5% -180 1827 1646 8.0    
Alida Remiens JustAsk Jace 36.3% -199 1646 1447 4.0    
 
Mark White mwhite Runes 13.3% -628 1862 1234 7.0    
Matthew Boxer Boxer mwhite 33.8% -237 1234 996 4.0    
 
Ross Johnstone rossj Scarab 47.5% -35 1748 1713 4.0    
Revel Drummond Revel Scarab 37.5% -180 1748 1568 8.0    
John Yamasaki tyedyed Revel 31.3% -276 1568 1291 4.0    
 
Lisa Stowell windy mikem 25.0% -382 1957 1575 4.0    
 
 
Players who previously had official ratings
 
In single elimination tournaments, a player with an official pre-tournament rating is rated as follows:
- use the normal method for matches played against opponents who had official pre-tournament ratings
- use the normal method for matches against any other opponents who played more than one match
- give the player his/her own pre-tournt rating for matches against opponents without official ratings who did not play anyone else
- take an average weighted by G against each opponent to calculate the overall rating for the tournament
 
For an explanation of this method, please see (*) at the end of this page.
 
The key to the table can be found above the previous table on this page.
 
Player details Matches v officially rated players only Pre-tnmt Tournt Tournt
Name Nickname G TP % Factor Oppnt Elo Elo Elo G Elo
 
Matthew Peek Pekko 12.0 51.3% 18 1912 1930 2023 16.0 1953
Mike McManaway mikem 11.0 44.7% -76 1457 1381 1957 14.0 1504
Justin Phillips Justin 3.0 31.7% -270 1937 1667 1947 7.0 1827
Jamie Sneddon Ridcully 11.0 40.8% -132 1502 1370 1937 15.0 1521
Phil Sneddon Runes 8.0 57.5% 107 1947 2054 1862 15.0 1964
Murray Pharaoh Scarab 3.0 25.0% -382 1957 1575 1748 11.0 1701
 
(*)
Single elimination tournaments where less than half the players are officially rated are difficult to rate fairly.
The first principle is that all games played in a tournament need to be counted in G.
- this is because G determines whether a player has an official rating or not at any point in the future.
 
Using the normal method can cause distortions if a rated player beats an unrated player by a huge margin.
Using the normal method in this case can actually drag the previously rated player's rating down.
- this is because the averaging of TP % and Oppnt Elo pulls in different directions
- if there are no extreme results, these effects cancel out in calculating the rating
- in an all-play all, extreme results have very little effect in the overall averages
- but the distortion can be large when:
--- a) the unrated opponent does not play anyone else
--- b) the rated player plays only two or three more matches in the tournament
All this is best explained with an example which can be provided for anyone who is interested.
 
Giving a player his/her pre-tournament rating for matches against opponents who do not play anyone else effectively removes this distortion. For players with no extreme results, it will make negligible difference to their ratings.
 
An alternative of rating based only on results against rated players can also cause distortions in the overall ratings because G for the tournament may be quite large and if the one or two results against rated players were very lucky or unlucky, they will be given a disproportionate weighting in the player's overall rating.

Last Updated on 06/08/00
By Steven
Email: tournaments@tantrix.co.uk
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